Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty among 24°C (26%), 25°C (25.5%), and 26°C (22.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by divergent global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF showing a 20–27°C spread amid variable cloud cover and shower potential from an approaching weak frontal system. Recent days featured above-normal autumn highs—25°C on April 14 and similar earlier—under a subtropical ridge, but April 16 forecasts indicate showers capping today's max near 24°C per SMN and AccuWeather guidance (around 22–24°C). Key differentiators include afternoon solar insolation, sea breeze timing, and urban heat effects; fresh SMN updates and model runs expected today could sharpen resolution before tomorrow's measurement at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$11,556 Vol.
$11,556 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 26%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$11,556 Vol.
$11,556 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
26%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty among 24°C (26%), 25°C (25.5%), and 26°C (22.5%) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by divergent global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF showing a 20–27°C spread amid variable cloud cover and shower potential from an approaching weak frontal system. Recent days featured above-normal autumn highs—25°C on April 14 and similar earlier—under a subtropical ridge, but April 16 forecasts indicate showers capping today's max near 24°C per SMN and AccuWeather guidance (around 22–24°C). Key differentiators include afternoon solar insolation, sea breeze timing, and urban heat effects; fresh SMN updates and model runs expected today could sharpen resolution before tomorrow's measurement at official stations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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