Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (44%) and 19°C (37%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport station on April 15, reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty amid a warming trend. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest update projects a 20°C peak under partly cloudy skies with light 8 km/h winds and morning lows near 7°C, aligning with international models like AccuWeather (21°C) and BBC Weather (20°C) that show consensus around 19-21°C following cooler days like 17°C on April 14. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat island effects at the airport site adding slight variability; hourly observations from MGM will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 15?
20°C 45%
19°C 38%
18°C 14%
21°C 6.7%
$44,764 Vol.
$44,764 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
14%
19°C
38%
20°C
45%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 45%
19°C 38%
18°C 14%
21°C 6.7%
$44,764 Vol.
$44,764 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
14%
19°C
38%
20°C
45%
21°C
7%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (44%) and 19°C (37%) for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa International Airport station on April 15, reflecting inherent short-range forecast uncertainty amid a warming trend. The Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) latest update projects a 20°C peak under partly cloudy skies with light 8 km/h winds and morning lows near 7°C, aligning with international models like AccuWeather (21°C) and BBC Weather (20°C) that show consensus around 19-21°C following cooler days like 17°C on April 14. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover potentially capping solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing, with urban heat island effects at the airport site adding slight variability; hourly observations from MGM will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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