Latest regional forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration-linked stations and Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature around 29-30°C in Guangzhou today under cloudy to overcast skies with southerly winds and high morning humidity near 91%, capping afternoon heating. However, global models like those reflected in AccuWeather and UK Met Office project sunnier intervals allowing 31-32°C peaks, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29°C or below (28.5%), 30°C (30%), and 31°C (32%). Key differentiators include cloud development from sea breeze moisture and urban heat effects, with historical April averages near 27°C underscoring above-normal warmth; real-time observations from Baiyun station will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 50%
30°C 36%
29°C or below 17%
32°C 13%
29°C or below
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
40%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
30°C 36%
29°C or below 17%
32°C 13%
29°C or below
17%
30°C
30%
31°C
40%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest regional forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration-linked stations and Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature around 29-30°C in Guangzhou today under cloudy to overcast skies with southerly winds and high morning humidity near 91%, capping afternoon heating. However, global models like those reflected in AccuWeather and UK Met Office project sunnier intervals allowing 31-32°C peaks, driving the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 29°C or below (28.5%), 30°C (30%), and 31°C (32%). Key differentiators include cloud development from sea breeze moisture and urban heat effects, with historical April averages near 27°C underscoring above-normal warmth; real-time observations from Baiyun station will clarify as the day progresses toward evening resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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