Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast models projecting Lagos's highest temperature on April 17 around 33–35°C, driven by NiMet's latest outlook for partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible in southern Nigeria during the rainy season onset. Recent highs on April 16 hovered near 33°C under similar humid, coastal conditions moderated by sea breezes, aligning with April climatology where averages hit 32°C but clear intervals can boost peaks by 2–3°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent—thicker layers capping at 32–33°C versus sparser ones allowing 34–35°C—and convective activity timing, per ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing 1–2°C spreads. NiMet hourly bulletins through midday will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
33°C 28%
34°C 26%
35°C 22%
32°C 16%
新規
$24,906 Vol.
新規
$24,906 Vol.
2026/04/17
27°C or below
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
16%
33°C
28%
34°C
26%
35°C
22%
36°C
7%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 28%
34°C 26%
35°C 22%
32°C 16%
新規
$24,906 Vol.
新規
$24,906 Vol.
2026/04/17
27°C or below
$15,176 Vol.
1%
28°C
$2,782 Vol.
1%
29°C
$2,559 Vol.
2%
30°C
$729 Vol.
2%
31°C
$713 Vol.
5%
32°C
$89 Vol.
16%
33°C
$148 Vol.
28%
34°C
$155 Vol.
26%
35°C
$147 Vol.
22%
36°C
$915 Vol.
7%
37°C or higher
$2,168 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast models projecting Lagos's highest temperature on April 17 around 33–35°C, driven by NiMet's latest outlook for partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible in southern Nigeria during the rainy season onset. Recent highs on April 16 hovered near 33°C under similar humid, coastal conditions moderated by sea breezes, aligning with April climatology where averages hit 32°C but clear intervals can boost peaks by 2–3°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent—thicker layers capping at 32–33°C versus sparser ones allowing 34–35°C—and convective activity timing, per ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing 1–2°C spreads. NiMet hourly bulletins through midday will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
音量
$24,906終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast models projecting Lagos's highest temperature on April 17 around 33–35°C, driven by NiMet's latest outlook for partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible in southern Nigeria during the rainy season onset. Recent highs on April 16 hovered near 33°C under similar humid, coastal conditions moderated by sea breezes, aligning with April climatology where averages hit 32°C but clear intervals can boost peaks by 2–3°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent—thicker layers capping at 32–33°C versus sparser ones allowing 34–35°C—and convective activity timing, per ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing 1–2°C spreads. NiMet hourly bulletins through midday will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$24,906終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight clustering of forecast models projecting Lagos's highest temperature on April 17 around 33–35°C, driven by NiMet's latest outlook for partly cloudy skies with isolated thunderstorms possible in southern Nigeria during the rainy season onset. Recent highs on April 16 hovered near 33°C under similar humid, coastal conditions moderated by sea breezes, aligning with April climatology where averages hit 32°C but clear intervals can boost peaks by 2–3°C. Key differentiators include cloud cover extent—thicker layers capping at 32–33°C versus sparser ones allowing 34–35°C—and convective activity timing, per ECMWF and GFS ensembles showing 1–2°C spreads. NiMet hourly bulletins through midday will sharpen resolution criteria based on official airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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