The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 17 at 28-30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon, with northerly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h limiting humidity influx from a central low-pressure channel. This range drives trader sentiment, with implied probabilities tightly clustered as models like GFS and ECMWF show minor divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where urban heat island effects can add 1-2°C. Historical April averages near 26°C reflect baseline dry-season warming, but partial sun favors 29°C consensus; fuller cloudiness risks 28°C, while clearer skies tip to 30°C. Updated SMN guidance at 10:00h today and overnight model runs could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 36%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 9%
$11,010 Vol.
$11,010 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
27%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
28°C 27%
30°C 25%
31°C 9%
$11,010 Vol.
$11,010 Vol.
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
7%
28°C
27%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued late April 15, projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 17 at 28-30°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies in the afternoon, with northerly winds of 10-20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h limiting humidity influx from a central low-pressure channel. This range drives trader sentiment, with implied probabilities tightly clustered as models like GFS and ECMWF show minor divergences on cloud cover and solar insolation at the city's 2,240-meter elevation, where urban heat island effects can add 1-2°C. Historical April averages near 26°C reflect baseline dry-season warming, but partial sun favors 29°C consensus; fuller cloudiness risks 28°C, while clearer skies tip to 30°C. Updated SMN guidance at 10:00h today and overnight model runs could refine odds before resolution via official airport observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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