National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 73°F in San Francisco on April 3 under mostly sunny skies, fueling trader consensus for 72°F or higher at 66.5% implied probability. Elevated 500 mb geopotential heights in recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles signal a persistent upper-level ridge over California, driving subsidence that suppresses clouds and boosts daytime heating beyond April climatological norms of around 63°F. North winds of 9-18 mph are expected to erode the morning marine layer—common in coastal San Francisco—allowing fuller insolation, a shift from yesterday's low-60s high amid lingering stratus. Uncertainty lingers in clearing timing, with 26% odds on 70-71°F if low clouds persist; hourly observations at KSFO airport will clarify as afternoon peaks near.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 3?
72°F or higher 67%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 6%
62-63°F <1%
$29,380 Vol.
$29,380 Vol.
2026/04/03
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
27%
72°F or higher
67%
72°F or higher 67%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 6%
62-63°F <1%
$29,380 Vol.
$29,380 Vol.
2026/04/03
53°F or below
$7,008 Vol.
<1%
54-55°F
$2,122 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,653 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,535 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,821 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$3,212 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,597 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,536 Vol.
6%
70-71°F
$2,102 Vol.
27%
72°F or higher
$3,182 Vol.
67%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 73°F in San Francisco on April 3 under mostly sunny skies, fueling trader consensus for 72°F or higher at 66.5% implied probability. Elevated 500 mb geopotential heights in recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles signal a persistent upper-level ridge over California, driving subsidence that suppresses clouds and boosts daytime heating beyond April climatological norms of around 63°F. North winds of 9-18 mph are expected to erode the morning marine layer—common in coastal San Francisco—allowing fuller insolation, a shift from yesterday's low-60s high amid lingering stratus. Uncertainty lingers in clearing timing, with 26% odds on 70-71°F if low clouds persist; hourly observations at KSFO airport will clarify as afternoon peaks near.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ET
音量
$29,380終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 73°F in San Francisco on April 3 under mostly sunny skies, fueling trader consensus for 72°F or higher at 66.5% implied probability. Elevated 500 mb geopotential heights in recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles signal a persistent upper-level ridge over California, driving subsidence that suppresses clouds and boosts daytime heating beyond April climatological norms of around 63°F. North winds of 9-18 mph are expected to erode the morning marine layer—common in coastal San Francisco—allowing fuller insolation, a shift from yesterday's low-60s high amid lingering stratus. Uncertainty lingers in clearing timing, with 26% odds on 70-71°F if low clouds persist; hourly observations at KSFO airport will clarify as afternoon peaks near.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$29,380終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 3:35 PM ETNational Weather Service forecasts indicate a high near 73°F in San Francisco on April 3 under mostly sunny skies, fueling trader consensus for 72°F or higher at 66.5% implied probability. Elevated 500 mb geopotential heights in recent GFS and ECMWF model ensembles signal a persistent upper-level ridge over California, driving subsidence that suppresses clouds and boosts daytime heating beyond April climatological norms of around 63°F. North winds of 9-18 mph are expected to erode the morning marine layer—common in coastal San Francisco—allowing fuller insolation, a shift from yesterday's low-60s high amid lingering stratus. Uncertainty lingers in clearing timing, with 26% odds on 70-71°F if low clouds persist; hourly observations at KSFO airport will clarify as afternoon peaks near.
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