National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 79°F in downtown San Francisco on April 5, driving trader consensus toward 78°F or higher at 54% market-implied probability, with 76-77°F close behind at 27.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend following a cold front's light rain (0.10-0.25 inches) overnight April 2, which reset temperatures to seasonal norms around 64°F; drier air and developing offshore northeast winds are now eroding the marine layer, enabling a high-pressure ridge to boost daytime highs well above the April historical average of 64°F. Model ensembles show consensus on persistent clear skies and light winds, though gusty breezes could cap peaks slightly; watch NWS updates through April 4 for refinements ahead of resolution based on official downtown observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 5?
78°F or higher 50%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
28%
78°F or higher
50%
78°F or higher 50%
76-77°F 28%
74-75°F 18%
72-73°F 6%
新規
新規
2026/04/05
59°F or below
$350 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$305 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$250 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$385 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1,067 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$90 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$144 Vol.
7%
72-73°F
$136 Vol.
17%
74-75°F
$141 Vol.
17%
76-77°F
$129 Vol.
28%
78°F or higher
$280 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 79°F in downtown San Francisco on April 5, driving trader consensus toward 78°F or higher at 54% market-implied probability, with 76-77°F close behind at 27.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend following a cold front's light rain (0.10-0.25 inches) overnight April 2, which reset temperatures to seasonal norms around 64°F; drier air and developing offshore northeast winds are now eroding the marine layer, enabling a high-pressure ridge to boost daytime highs well above the April historical average of 64°F. Model ensembles show consensus on persistent clear skies and light winds, though gusty breezes could cap peaks slightly; watch NWS updates through April 4 for refinements ahead of resolution based on official downtown observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
音量
$3,278終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts project a high of 79°F in downtown San Francisco on April 5, driving trader consensus toward 78°F or higher at 54% market-implied probability, with 76-77°F close behind at 27.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend following a cold front's light rain (0.10-0.25 inches) overnight April 2, which reset temperatures to seasonal norms around 64°F; drier air and developing offshore northeast winds are now eroding the marine layer, enabling a high-pressure ridge to boost daytime highs well above the April historical average of 64°F. Model ensembles show consensus on persistent clear skies and light winds, though gusty breezes could cap peaks slightly; watch NWS updates through April 4 for refinements ahead of resolution based on official downtown observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$3,278終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:30 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts project a high of 79°F in downtown San Francisco on April 5, driving trader consensus toward 78°F or higher at 54% market-implied probability, with 76-77°F close behind at 27.5%. This positioning stems from a sharp warming trend following a cold front's light rain (0.10-0.25 inches) overnight April 2, which reset temperatures to seasonal norms around 64°F; drier air and developing offshore northeast winds are now eroding the marine layer, enabling a high-pressure ridge to boost daytime highs well above the April historical average of 64°F. Model ensembles show consensus on persistent clear skies and light winds, though gusty breezes could cap peaks slightly; watch NWS updates through April 4 for refinements ahead of resolution based on official downtown observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問