Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (33.5%) and 21°C (31.0%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts of an overcast day with highs near 21°C amid northerly winds under 12 km/h following a recent cool front. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and daytime heating, while light northerly flow post-frontal boundary suppresses warm air advection from the south, keeping peaks in the 20-21°C range consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 19-21°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 1-2°C spreads due to uncertainties in cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, with official hourly observations from Shanghai stations—expected throughout the day—likely to resolve the market as new data refines the peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日の上海の最高気温は?
4月17日の上海の最高気温は?
20℃ 32%
21℃ 32%
19°C 18%
22℃ 13.4%
$38,491 Vol.
$38,491 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
18%
20℃
32%
21℃
32%
22℃
13%
23℃以上
3%
20℃ 32%
21℃ 32%
19°C 18%
22℃ 13.4%
$38,491 Vol.
$38,491 Vol.
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
18%
20℃
32%
21℃
32%
22℃
13%
23℃以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 20°C (33.5%) and 21°C (31.0%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts of an overcast day with highs near 21°C amid northerly winds under 12 km/h following a recent cool front. Persistent cloud cover limits solar insolation and daytime heating, while light northerly flow post-frontal boundary suppresses warm air advection from the south, keeping peaks in the 20-21°C range consistent with mid-April climatological averages of 19-21°C. Global models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles show 1-2°C spreads due to uncertainties in cloud evolution and boundary layer mixing, with official hourly observations from Shanghai stations—expected throughout the day—likely to resolve the market as new data refines the peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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