Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20°C (34.5%) and 21°C (30.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-21°C amid persistent cloudy skies and possible light showers. AccuWeather and BBC Weather align with a 21°C high under overcast conditions, reflecting southerly moisture advection capping insolation despite mild spring air masses—Shanghai's April climatological average is 19°C. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloud thinning timing and urban heat effects at the resolving station, Pudong International Airport; minor frontal influences could tip outcomes by 1°C. New CMA guidance and hourly observations expected midday will sharpen resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日の上海の最高気温は？
4月17日の上海の最高気温は？
20℃ 35%
21℃ 30%
19°C 20%
22℃ 13.2%
新規
$28,784 Vol.
新規
$28,784 Vol.
2026/04/17
13℃以下
<1%
14℃
<1%
15℃
<1%
16℃
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
20%
20℃
35%
21℃
30%
22℃
13%
23℃以上
3%
20℃ 35%
21℃ 30%
19°C 20%
22℃ 13.2%
新規
$28,784 Vol.
新規
$28,784 Vol.
2026/04/17
13℃以下
$3,670 Vol.
<1%
14℃
$2,972 Vol.
<1%
15℃
$3,498 Vol.
<1%
16℃
$3,081 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,783 Vol.
1%
18°C
$3,371 Vol.
2%
19°C
$1,989 Vol.
20%
20℃
$2,097 Vol.
35%
21℃
$1,637 Vol.
30%
22℃
$2,271 Vol.
13%
23℃以上
$2,937 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20°C (34.5%) and 21°C (30.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-21°C amid persistent cloudy skies and possible light showers. AccuWeather and BBC Weather align with a 21°C high under overcast conditions, reflecting southerly moisture advection capping insolation despite mild spring air masses—Shanghai's April climatological average is 19°C. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloud thinning timing and urban heat effects at the resolving station, Pudong International Airport; minor frontal influences could tip outcomes by 1°C. New CMA guidance and hourly observations expected midday will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
音量
$28,784終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20°C (34.5%) and 21°C (30.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-21°C amid persistent cloudy skies and possible light showers. AccuWeather and BBC Weather align with a 21°C high under overcast conditions, reflecting southerly moisture advection capping insolation despite mild spring air masses—Shanghai's April climatological average is 19°C. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloud thinning timing and urban heat effects at the resolving station, Pudong International Airport; minor frontal influences could tip outcomes by 1°C. New CMA guidance and hourly observations expected midday will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$28,784終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward 20°C (34.5%) and 21°C (30.5%) for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering peaks around 20-21°C amid persistent cloudy skies and possible light showers. AccuWeather and BBC Weather align with a 21°C high under overcast conditions, reflecting southerly moisture advection capping insolation despite mild spring air masses—Shanghai's April climatological average is 19°C. Differentiating factors include model discrepancies on cloud thinning timing and urban heat effects at the resolving station, Pudong International Airport; minor frontal influences could tip outcomes by 1°C. New CMA guidance and hourly observations expected midday will sharpen resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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