Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shenzhen high temperature of 30°C (36%) or 29°C (31.5%) for April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting around 29°C amid expected thundershowers and cloudy skies. This tight race stems from short-term forecast model divergence: global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in convective cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and urban heat island effects in the subtropical monsoon climate, where afternoon showers often cap peaks. Today's observed high near 29°C under similar cloudy conditions adds to the balance, with resolution hinging on official Bao'an International Airport readings and any late shifts in precipitation before evening. Updated hourly guidance expected overnight could tip the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 11.6%
新規
$24,321 Vol.
新規
$24,321 Vol.
2026/04/17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
13%
29°C
32%
30°C
35%
31°C
12%
32°C or higher
3%
30°C 35%
29°C 32%
28°C 13%
31°C 11.6%
新規
$24,321 Vol.
新規
$24,321 Vol.
2026/04/17
22°C or below
$1,331 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,630 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,831 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,619 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,074 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,756 Vol.
13%
29°C
$678 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,480 Vol.
35%
31°C
$2,615 Vol.
12%
32°C or higher
$1,954 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shenzhen high temperature of 30°C (36%) or 29°C (31.5%) for April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting around 29°C amid expected thundershowers and cloudy skies. This tight race stems from short-term forecast model divergence: global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in convective cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and urban heat island effects in the subtropical monsoon climate, where afternoon showers often cap peaks. Today's observed high near 29°C under similar cloudy conditions adds to the balance, with resolution hinging on official Bao'an International Airport readings and any late shifts in precipitation before evening. Updated hourly guidance expected overnight could tip the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
音量
$24,321終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shenzhen high temperature of 30°C (36%) or 29°C (31.5%) for April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting around 29°C amid expected thundershowers and cloudy skies. This tight race stems from short-term forecast model divergence: global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in convective cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and urban heat island effects in the subtropical monsoon climate, where afternoon showers often cap peaks. Today's observed high near 29°C under similar cloudy conditions adds to the balance, with resolution hinging on official Bao'an International Airport readings and any late shifts in precipitation before evening. Updated hourly guidance expected overnight could tip the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$24,321終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Shenzhen high temperature of 30°C (36%) or 29°C (31.5%) for April 17, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast projecting around 29°C amid expected thundershowers and cloudy skies. This tight race stems from short-term forecast model divergence: global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS show a 1-2°C spread due to uncertainties in convective cloud cover, sea breeze timing, and urban heat island effects in the subtropical monsoon climate, where afternoon showers often cap peaks. Today's observed high near 29°C under similar cloudy conditions adds to the balance, with resolution hinging on official Bao'an International Airport readings and any late shifts in precipitation before evening. Updated hourly guidance expected overnight could tip the market.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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