MetService's latest forecast update for April 17 lists a high of 18°C at Wellington Central, with northwesterlies strengthening and a few morning showers developing, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (40.5% implied probability) over 19°C (35.5%). These northerly winds transport warmer subtropical air, boosting potential maxima above the April climatological average of 17°C, but emerging cloud cover and precipitation may limit insolation and cap peaks at 17–19°C, as reflected in the tight race. Resolution hinges on observations at Wellington International Airport station; small variances in shower timing or wind gusts differentiate outcomes. Watch for MetService's overnight model refresh, which could refine guidance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
4月17日のウェリントンの最高気温は?
18℃ 37%
19℃ 36%
17℃ 21%
20°C 3.3%
$46,136 Vol.
$46,136 Vol.
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17℃
21%
18℃
37%
19℃
36%
20°C
3%
21°C以上
1%
18℃ 37%
19℃ 36%
17℃ 21%
20°C 3.3%
$46,136 Vol.
$46,136 Vol.
11℃以下
<1%
12℃
<1%
13℃
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17℃
21%
18℃
37%
19℃
36%
20°C
3%
21°C以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast update for April 17 lists a high of 18°C at Wellington Central, with northwesterlies strengthening and a few morning showers developing, driving trader consensus toward 18°C (40.5% implied probability) over 19°C (35.5%). These northerly winds transport warmer subtropical air, boosting potential maxima above the April climatological average of 17°C, but emerging cloud cover and precipitation may limit insolation and cap peaks at 17–19°C, as reflected in the tight race. Resolution hinges on observations at Wellington International Airport station; small variances in shower timing or wind gusts differentiate outcomes. Watch for MetService's overnight model refresh, which could refine guidance amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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