Redistricting in late 2025 shifted North Carolina’s 1st congressional district rightward by roughly eight points, elevating its partisan voting index and transforming the seat into a Lean Republican contest according to Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings. Incumbent Democrat Don Davis, who won narrow victories in prior cycles, now faces Republican nominee Laurie Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who secured the GOP nomination and national party backing through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent polling, including a late-April survey, shows the race essentially tied or within the margin of error, underscoring the district’s competitive nature ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes, candidate strength, and the broader midterm environment while leaving room for late shifts from turnout or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
61%
共和党
35%
新規
新規
2026/11/04
民主党
$98 Vol.
61%
共和党
$562 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in late 2025 shifted North Carolina’s 1st congressional district rightward by roughly eight points, elevating its partisan voting index and transforming the seat into a Lean Republican contest according to Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings. Incumbent Democrat Don Davis, who won narrow victories in prior cycles, now faces Republican nominee Laurie Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who secured the GOP nomination and national party backing through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent polling, including a late-April survey, shows the race essentially tied or within the margin of error, underscoring the district’s competitive nature ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes, candidate strength, and the broader midterm environment while leaving room for late shifts from turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$659終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in late 2025 shifted North Carolina’s 1st congressional district rightward by roughly eight points, elevating its partisan voting index and transforming the seat into a Lean Republican contest according to Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings. Incumbent Democrat Don Davis, who won narrow victories in prior cycles, now faces Republican nominee Laurie Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who secured the GOP nomination and national party backing through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent polling, including a late-April survey, shows the race essentially tied or within the margin of error, underscoring the district’s competitive nature ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes, candidate strength, and the broader midterm environment while leaving room for late shifts from turnout or national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$659終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in late 2025 shifted North Carolina’s 1st congressional district rightward by roughly eight points, elevating its partisan voting index and transforming the seat into a Lean Republican contest according to Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball ratings. Incumbent Democrat Don Davis, who won narrow victories in prior cycles, now faces Republican nominee Laurie Buckhout, a retired Army colonel who secured the GOP nomination and national party backing through the NRCC’s MAGA Majority program. Recent polling, including a late-April survey, shows the race essentially tied or within the margin of error, underscoring the district’s competitive nature ahead of the November 2026 general election. Trader pricing reflects these structural changes, candidate strength, and the broader midterm environment while leaving room for late shifts from turnout or national conditions.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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