Incumbent Democratic Rep. Don Davis holds a 61.5% implied probability in the NC-01 race against Republican Laurie Buckhout at 38.5%, reflecting trader views of his local incumbency advantage despite the district's October 2025 redistricting that shifted it toward Republicans. The newly drawn map, covering more rural eastern counties, boosted the Republican baseline after Davis won the 2024 contest by under two points. Buckhout, an Army veteran endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and has emphasized border security and costs, while Davis highlights constituent services and has maintained competitive fundraising near $4.3 million through mid-2026. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one June survey giving Davis a narrow lead, underscoring the race's sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
ドン・デイビス（民主党）
62%
ローリー・バックハウト（共和党）
39%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
ドン・デイビス（民主党）
$480 Vol.
62%
ローリー・バックハウト（共和党）
$1,272 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Don Davis holds a 61.5% implied probability in the NC-01 race against Republican Laurie Buckhout at 38.5%, reflecting trader views of his local incumbency advantage despite the district's October 2025 redistricting that shifted it toward Republicans. The newly drawn map, covering more rural eastern counties, boosted the Republican baseline after Davis won the 2024 contest by under two points. Buckhout, an Army veteran endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and has emphasized border security and costs, while Davis highlights constituent services and has maintained competitive fundraising near $4.3 million through mid-2026. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one June survey giving Davis a narrow lead, underscoring the race's sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
音量
$1,752終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Rep. Don Davis holds a 61.5% implied probability in the NC-01 race against Republican Laurie Buckhout at 38.5%, reflecting trader views of his local incumbency advantage despite the district's October 2025 redistricting that shifted it toward Republicans. The newly drawn map, covering more rural eastern counties, boosted the Republican baseline after Davis won the 2024 contest by under two points. Buckhout, an Army veteran endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and has emphasized border security and costs, while Davis highlights constituent services and has maintained competitive fundraising near $4.3 million through mid-2026. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one June survey giving Davis a narrow lead, underscoring the race's sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$1,752終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Rep. Don Davis holds a 61.5% implied probability in the NC-01 race against Republican Laurie Buckhout at 38.5%, reflecting trader views of his local incumbency advantage despite the district's October 2025 redistricting that shifted it toward Republicans. The newly drawn map, covering more rural eastern counties, boosted the Republican baseline after Davis won the 2024 contest by under two points. Buckhout, an Army veteran endorsed by President Trump, secured the GOP nomination in the March 2026 primary and has emphasized border security and costs, while Davis highlights constituent services and has maintained competitive fundraising near $4.3 million through mid-2026. Recent polling shows a tight contest, with one June survey giving Davis a narrow lead, underscoring the race's sensitivity to turnout and late-cycle developments ahead of the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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