Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 20mm total precipitation for April in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by official observations showing just 3mm accumulated at key stations like Heathrow through April 15—only 7% of the 42mm monthly climatological normal from the Met Office. This extreme dryness stems from persistent high-pressure systems dominating after a wet winter, fostering record early-April warmth up to 26.1°C on April 8 and suppressing convective rainfall, with daily totals mostly trace except 2.4mm on April 12. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low precipitation risk through month-end, though a late shift to unsettled Atlantic patterns could add minor totals; watch daily advisories for updates resolving near April 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Precipitation in London in April?
Precipitation in London in April?
<20mm 58.6%
40-50mm 16.0%
30-40mm 12%
20-30mm 6.5%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<20mm
65%
20-30mm
6%
30-40mm
12%
40-50mm
16%
50-60mm
2%
60-70mm
2%
70mm+
3%
<20mm 58.6%
40-50mm 16.0%
30-40mm 12%
20-30mm 6.5%
新規
新規
2026/04/30
<20mm
$2,237 Vol.
65%
20-30mm
$662 Vol.
6%
30-40mm
$1,108 Vol.
12%
40-50mm
$893 Vol.
16%
50-60mm
$1,841 Vol.
2%
60-70mm
$805 Vol.
2%
70mm+
$1,126 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 20mm total precipitation for April in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by official observations showing just 3mm accumulated at key stations like Heathrow through April 15—only 7% of the 42mm monthly climatological normal from the Met Office. This extreme dryness stems from persistent high-pressure systems dominating after a wet winter, fostering record early-April warmth up to 26.1°C on April 8 and suppressing convective rainfall, with daily totals mostly trace except 2.4mm on April 12. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low precipitation risk through month-end, though a late shift to unsettled Atlantic patterns could add minor totals; watch daily advisories for updates resolving near April 30.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ET
音量
$8,673終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 20mm total precipitation for April in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by official observations showing just 3mm accumulated at key stations like Heathrow through April 15—only 7% of the 42mm monthly climatological normal from the Met Office. This extreme dryness stems from persistent high-pressure systems dominating after a wet winter, fostering record early-April warmth up to 26.1°C on April 8 and suppressing convective rainfall, with daily totals mostly trace except 2.4mm on April 12. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low precipitation risk through month-end, though a late shift to unsettled Atlantic patterns could add minor totals; watch daily advisories for updates resolving near April 30.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm at Heathrow (London Airport) in April, 2026, according to the Met Office.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Met Office, specifically the figure for April 2026 under "rain mm" at the https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/pub/data/weather/uk/climate/stationdata/heathrowdata.txt link once the Provisional figure for the whole month of April 2026 is released.
If the relevant data is not available by June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after Provisional data is released for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$8,673終了日
2026/04/30マーケット開始日
Mar 24, 2026, 6:20 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors under 20mm total precipitation for April in London at 67.8% implied probability, driven by official observations showing just 3mm accumulated at key stations like Heathrow through April 15—only 7% of the 42mm monthly climatological normal from the Met Office. This extreme dryness stems from persistent high-pressure systems dominating after a wet winter, fostering record early-April warmth up to 26.1°C on April 8 and suppressing convective rainfall, with daily totals mostly trace except 2.4mm on April 12. Ensemble forecast models from the Met Office indicate low precipitation risk through month-end, though a late shift to unsettled Atlantic patterns could add minor totals; watch daily advisories for updates resolving near April 30.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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