The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Dallas forecasts a high temperature near 79°F today at Dallas Love Field—the market's resolution station—under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds around 10-20 mph gusts and a 20-30% chance of isolated thunderstorms, positioning the 78-79°F outcome as trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability. Current observations show midday readings already hitting 78°F amid 69% humidity and overcast conditions, consistent with high pressure aloft allowing modest warming but cloud cover capping peaks. NOAA model ensembles like HRRR and GFS agree on upper-70s to low-80s highs, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours despite minor convective risks; historical mid-April averages hover around 77°F, reinforcing clustered odds above 76°F at over 90% combined. Afternoon updates and real-time observations will clarify as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 15?
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 22%
82°F or higher 9.3%
$43,016 Vol.
$43,016 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
22%
82°F or higher
9%
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 27%
80-81°F 22%
82°F or higher 9.3%
$43,016 Vol.
$43,016 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
4%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
22%
82°F or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The National Weather Service's latest guidance for Dallas forecasts a high temperature near 79°F today at Dallas Love Field—the market's resolution station—under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds around 10-20 mph gusts and a 20-30% chance of isolated thunderstorms, positioning the 78-79°F outcome as trader consensus at 43.5% implied probability. Current observations show midday readings already hitting 78°F amid 69% humidity and overcast conditions, consistent with high pressure aloft allowing modest warming but cloud cover capping peaks. NOAA model ensembles like HRRR and GFS agree on upper-70s to low-80s highs, with no major shifts in the past 24 hours despite minor convective risks; historical mid-April averages hover around 77°F, reinforcing clustered odds above 76°F at over 90% combined. Afternoon updates and real-time observations will clarify as resolution nears.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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