The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, following an M7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—marking a 15-day seismic lull amid typical global variability. Historically, USGS data indicate 15–20 such events annually, averaging one every 18–24 days along plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no reliable short-term forecasting possible due to the stochastic nature of tectonic stress release. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time catalog for preliminary magnitudes, which undergo minor revisions; any qualifying event anywhere resolves markets, with hourly updates providing the freshest data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트... 에 의한 또 다른 7.0 이상의 지진?
... 에 의한 또 다른 7.0 이상의 지진?
$44,811 거래량
2026.04.30
4월 30일
37%
$44,811 거래량
4월 30일
$12,397 거래량
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, following an M7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—marking a 15-day seismic lull amid typical global variability. Historically, USGS data indicate 15–20 such events annually, averaging one every 18–24 days along plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no reliable short-term forecasting possible due to the stochastic nature of tectonic stress release. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time catalog for preliminary magnitudes, which undergo minor revisions; any qualifying event anywhere resolves markets, with hourly updates providing the freshest data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
마켓 개설일: Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
거래량
$44,811종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, following an M7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—marking a 15-day seismic lull amid typical global variability. Historically, USGS data indicate 15–20 such events annually, averaging one every 18–24 days along plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no reliable short-term forecasting possible due to the stochastic nature of tectonic stress release. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time catalog for preliminary magnitudes, which undergo minor revisions; any qualifying event anywhere resolves markets, with hourly updates providing the freshest data.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
거래량
$44,811종료일
2026.04.30마켓 개설일
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) reports no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia, on April 1, 2026, following an M7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu, on March 30—marking a 15-day seismic lull amid typical global variability. Historically, USGS data indicate 15–20 such events annually, averaging one every 18–24 days along plate boundaries like the Pacific Ring of Fire, with no reliable short-term forecasting possible due to the stochastic nature of tectonic stress release. Traders should monitor the USGS real-time catalog for preliminary magnitudes, which undergo minor revisions; any qualifying event anywhere resolves markets, with hourly updates providing the freshest data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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