Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S. measles outbreak. CDC data as of early April shows 1,714 confirmed cases, with 17 new outbreaks accounting for 94% of infections, mostly among unvaccinated individuals and linked to international travel. While no Level 3 notices are active amid Level 1 global measles and dengue alerts plus a Level 2 polio advisory for 32 countries, surging case counts and seasonal travel risks signal potential escalation. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global outbreak monitoring could shift trajectories, underscoring epidemiological uncertainties in transmission dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$112,107 거래량
$112,107 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$112,107 거래량
$112,107 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S. measles outbreak. CDC data as of early April shows 1,714 confirmed cases, with 17 new outbreaks accounting for 94% of infections, mostly among unvaccinated individuals and linked to international travel. While no Level 3 notices are active amid Level 1 global measles and dengue alerts plus a Level 2 polio advisory for 32 countries, surging case counts and seasonal travel risks signal potential escalation. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global outbreak monitoring could shift trajectories, underscoring epidemiological uncertainties in transmission dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
마켓 개설일: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
거래량
$112,107종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S. measles outbreak. CDC data as of early April shows 1,714 confirmed cases, with 17 new outbreaks accounting for 94% of infections, mostly among unvaccinated individuals and linked to international travel. While no Level 3 notices are active amid Level 1 global measles and dengue alerts plus a Level 2 polio advisory for 32 countries, surging case counts and seasonal travel risks signal potential escalation. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global outbreak monitoring could shift trajectories, underscoring epidemiological uncertainties in transmission dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
거래량
$112,107종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 74% implied probability that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips to affected areas—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the ongoing U.S. measles outbreak. CDC data as of early April shows 1,714 confirmed cases, with 17 new outbreaks accounting for 94% of infections, mostly among unvaccinated individuals and linked to international travel. While no Level 3 notices are active amid Level 1 global measles and dengue alerts plus a Level 2 polio advisory for 32 countries, surging case counts and seasonal travel risks signal potential escalation. Weekly CDC surveillance updates and global outbreak monitoring could shift trajectories, underscoring epidemiological uncertainties in transmission dynamics.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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