Latest forecast guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles projects a maximum temperature cluster of 23–26°C in Buenos Aires on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 24°C leading at 34.5% implied probability. This tight race reflects model spread stemming from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence—some runs show partial afternoon clearing under light southerly winds boosting highs to 25–26°C, while others forecast overcast skies capping at 23–24°C amid lingering post-frontal moisture. Recent April warmth, including record minimums early in the month, provides climatological context above the 22°C historical average, but sea breeze moderation adds variability. SMN's final bulletin and real-time observations expected within hours could refine resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
$23,730 거래량
$23,730 거래량
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
34%
25°C
30%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 34%
25°C 30%
26°C 22%
23°C 8%
$23,730 거래량
$23,730 거래량
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
34%
25°C
30%
26°C
22%
27°C
4%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest forecast guidance from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and global models like ECMWF and GFS ensembles projects a maximum temperature cluster of 23–26°C in Buenos Aires on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes with 24°C leading at 34.5% implied probability. This tight race reflects model spread stemming from uncertainty in cloud cover persistence—some runs show partial afternoon clearing under light southerly winds boosting highs to 25–26°C, while others forecast overcast skies capping at 23–24°C amid lingering post-frontal moisture. Recent April warmth, including record minimums early in the month, provides climatological context above the 22°C historical average, but sea breeze moderation adds variability. SMN's final bulletin and real-time observations expected within hours could refine resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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