Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Guangzhou's highest temperature today, with 99.2% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) station, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines. Hourly data through mid-afternoon recorded a peak of 31°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 15-25 km/h, and rising humidity near 70%, which capped solar heating and aligned with short-range forecast models showing no intensification potential. Current temperatures are declining toward evening lows around 24°C, reinforcing this positioning against April climatological averages of 26-28°C highs. Realistic challenges include a brief heat burst from unexpected clearing before sunset around 6:45 p.m. local time or minor measurement revisions, though high moisture and cloud trends make 32°C or higher unlikely. Final daily observations expected by midnight UTC+8.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
신규
$78,612 거래량
신규
$78,612 거래량
2026.04.16
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.6%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
신규
$78,612 거래량
신규
$78,612 거래량
2026.04.16
31°C
$60,693 거래량
100%
32°C
$3,006 거래량
<1%
33°C
$1,694 거래량
<1%
34°C
$1,298 거래량
<1%
35°C
$1,457 거래량
<1%
36°C
$2,161 거래량
<1%
37°C
$1,263 거래량
<1%
38°C
$519 거래량
<1%
39°C or higher
$863 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Guangzhou's highest temperature today, with 99.2% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) station, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines. Hourly data through mid-afternoon recorded a peak of 31°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 15-25 km/h, and rising humidity near 70%, which capped solar heating and aligned with short-range forecast models showing no intensification potential. Current temperatures are declining toward evening lows around 24°C, reinforcing this positioning against April climatological averages of 26-28°C highs. Realistic challenges include a brief heat burst from unexpected clearing before sunset around 6:45 p.m. local time or minor measurement revisions, though high moisture and cloud trends make 32°C or higher unlikely. Final daily observations expected by midnight UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
거래량
$78,612종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Guangzhou's highest temperature today, with 99.2% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) station, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines. Hourly data through mid-afternoon recorded a peak of 31°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 15-25 km/h, and rising humidity near 70%, which capped solar heating and aligned with short-range forecast models showing no intensification potential. Current temperatures are declining toward evening lows around 24°C, reinforcing this positioning against April climatological averages of 26-28°C highs. Realistic challenges include a brief heat burst from unexpected clearing before sunset around 6:45 p.m. local time or minor measurement revisions, though high moisture and cloud trends make 32°C or higher unlikely. Final daily observations expected by midnight UTC+8.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$78,612종료일
2026.04.16마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 31°C as Guangzhou's highest temperature today, with 99.2% implied probability, driven by official observations from the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport (ZGGG) station, the market's resolution source under China Meteorological Administration guidelines. Hourly data through mid-afternoon recorded a peak of 31°C amid partly cloudy skies, southerly winds at 15-25 km/h, and rising humidity near 70%, which capped solar heating and aligned with short-range forecast models showing no intensification potential. Current temperatures are declining toward evening lows around 24°C, reinforcing this positioning against April climatological averages of 26-28°C highs. Realistic challenges include a brief heat burst from unexpected clearing before sunset around 6:45 p.m. local time or minor measurement revisions, though high moisture and cloud trends make 32°C or higher unlikely. Final daily observations expected by midnight UTC+8.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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