Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models position Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (35.5% implied probability) amid a high-pressure ridge over western Europe fostering subsidence, clear skies, and mild southerly airflow above the 16.5°C April climatological norm. Recent 12z model runs show tight clustering in this range, with some ECMWF members allowing clearer afternoon conditions for enhanced solar heating up to 22°C, while partial cloud risks tempering to 20°C. Yesterday's southerly flow validated the warming trend observed on April 15-16. New evening forecast updates from these agencies could refine probabilities before resolution via official station data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
4월 17일 파리에서 가장 높은 기온?
21°C 36%
22°C 21%
20°C 20%
19°C 14%
$32,089 거래량
$32,089 거래량
16°C 이하
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C 이상
1%
21°C 36%
22°C 21%
20°C 20%
19°C 14%
$32,089 거래량
$32,089 거래량
16°C 이하
<1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
14%
20°C
20%
21°C
36%
22°C
21%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C 이상
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ensemble forecasts from Météo-France, ECMWF, and GFS models position Paris's highest temperature on April 17 at 20-22°C, driving trader consensus toward 21°C (35.5% implied probability) amid a high-pressure ridge over western Europe fostering subsidence, clear skies, and mild southerly airflow above the 16.5°C April climatological norm. Recent 12z model runs show tight clustering in this range, with some ECMWF members allowing clearer afternoon conditions for enhanced solar heating up to 22°C, while partial cloud risks tempering to 20°C. Yesterday's southerly flow validated the warming trend observed on April 15-16. New evening forecast updates from these agencies could refine probabilities before resolution via official station data.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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