Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement created an open New Hampshire Senate seat, but Rep. Chris Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65-71% in recent polls and holds narrow leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John E. Sununu in general election matchups, including Emerson's March 45-44% edge and RCP's +3 average. Pappas' Q1 fundraising haul of $3.3 million and cash-on-hand advantage, reported April 15, have bolstered trader sentiment toward an 85.5% Democratic implied probability, diverging from closely contested polls amid the state's Democratic Senate incumbency since 2017. Sununu leads the GOP primary over Scott Brown ahead of September 8 contests, though his past loss to Shaheen underscores challenges in this battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$19,993 거래량
$19,993 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
86%
공화당
13%
$19,993 거래량
$19,993 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$14,495 거래량
86%
공화당
$5,598 거래량
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement created an open New Hampshire Senate seat, but Rep. Chris Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65-71% in recent polls and holds narrow leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John E. Sununu in general election matchups, including Emerson's March 45-44% edge and RCP's +3 average. Pappas' Q1 fundraising haul of $3.3 million and cash-on-hand advantage, reported April 15, have bolstered trader sentiment toward an 85.5% Democratic implied probability, diverging from closely contested polls amid the state's Democratic Senate incumbency since 2017. Sununu leads the GOP primary over Scott Brown ahead of September 8 contests, though his past loss to Shaheen underscores challenges in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
거래량
$19,993종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement created an open New Hampshire Senate seat, but Rep. Chris Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65-71% in recent polls and holds narrow leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John E. Sununu in general election matchups, including Emerson's March 45-44% edge and RCP's +3 average. Pappas' Q1 fundraising haul of $3.3 million and cash-on-hand advantage, reported April 15, have bolstered trader sentiment toward an 85.5% Democratic implied probability, diverging from closely contested polls amid the state's Democratic Senate incumbency since 2017. Sununu leads the GOP primary over Scott Brown ahead of September 8 contests, though his past loss to Shaheen underscores challenges in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$19,993종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's retirement created an open New Hampshire Senate seat, but Rep. Chris Pappas dominates the Democratic primary at 65-71% in recent polls and holds narrow leads over GOP frontrunner former Sen. John E. Sununu in general election matchups, including Emerson's March 45-44% edge and RCP's +3 average. Pappas' Q1 fundraising haul of $3.3 million and cash-on-hand advantage, reported April 15, have bolstered trader sentiment toward an 85.5% Democratic implied probability, diverging from closely contested polls amid the state's Democratic Senate incumbency since 2017. Sununu leads the GOP primary over Scott Brown ahead of September 8 contests, though his past loss to Shaheen underscores challenges in this battleground.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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