Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (28%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peak daytime highs around 23°C under mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. This edges out 24°C (21.5%) and tied 22-25°C outcomes (18% each), as models show low confidence in exceeding 24°C due to moderating Mediterranean sea breezes—currently at 17-18°C—and limited insolation from scattered clouds. Historical March averages hover at 21-22°C, but recent runs indicate a slight warm anomaly from subtropical air advection, with final differentiation hinging on afternoon Israel Meteorological Service hourly updates amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 28 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 28 de março?
23°C 28%
24°C 22%
22°C 18%
25°C 18%
17°C ou menos
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
28%
24°C
22%
25°C
18%
26°C
12%
27°C ou mais
8%
23°C 28%
24°C 22%
22°C 18%
25°C 18%
17°C ou menos
2%
18°C
11%
19°C
14%
20°C
15%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
28%
24°C
22%
25°C
18%
26°C
12%
27°C ou mais
8%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 23°C (28%) as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts projecting peak daytime highs around 23°C under mild southerly winds and partial cloud cover. This edges out 24°C (21.5%) and tied 22-25°C outcomes (18% each), as models show low confidence in exceeding 24°C due to moderating Mediterranean sea breezes—currently at 17-18°C—and limited insolation from scattered clouds. Historical March averages hover at 21-22°C, but recent runs indicate a slight warm anomaly from subtropical air advection, with final differentiation hinging on afternoon Israel Meteorological Service hourly updates amid 1-2°C forecast uncertainty.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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