Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high of 18-19°C in Tel Aviv on March 27, driving trader consensus with 30% odds on 18°C and 29.5% on 19°C, as mild southerly winds advect warmer air while sea breezes temper peaks. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—clearer skies favor 19-20°C (19.5% odds), while increased low-level moisture could cap at 17°C (20.5%)—against a March historical average high of 19°C. Lower odds for extremes reflect low model spread, with IMS updates expected to refine diurnal maximum at Ben Gurion Airport station amid stable high-pressure influence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoTemperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?
Temperatura mais alta em Tel Aviv em 27 de março?
18°C 30%
17°C 30%
19°C 30%
20°C 20%
13°C ou menos
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
22%
18°C
30%
19°C
30%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C ou mais
2%
18°C 30%
17°C 30%
19°C 30%
20°C 20%
13°C ou menos
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
3%
16°C
11%
17°C
22%
18°C
30%
19°C
30%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C ou mais
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from major models like ECMWF and GFS point to a high of 18-19°C in Tel Aviv on March 27, driving trader consensus with 30% odds on 18°C and 29.5% on 19°C, as mild southerly winds advect warmer air while sea breezes temper peaks. Differentiating factors include subtle variations in cloud cover—clearer skies favor 19-20°C (19.5% odds), while increased low-level moisture could cap at 17°C (20.5%)—against a March historical average high of 19°C. Lower odds for extremes reflect low model spread, with IMS updates expected to refine diurnal maximum at Ben Gurion Airport station amid stable high-pressure influence.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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