Latest ensemble weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global forecasts like GFS and ECMWF project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 35-36°C, fueling the close market-implied odds with 36°C leading at 31.5% and 35°C at 28.5%. Recent heatwave persistence across Uttar Pradesh, with March 27 recording 37.2°C amid low humidity and clear skies, supports elevated readings above the late-March climatological average of 34°C, but minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or southerly winds could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Trader sentiment reflects this razor-thin model spread, with new IMD updates expected by evening potentially sharpening resolution before observations finalize the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Лакхнау 29 марта?
Самая высокая температура в Лакхнау 29 марта?
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
34°C или ниже 13%
37°C 11%
34°C или ниже
13%
35°C
29%
36°C
32%
37°C
11%
38°C
4%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C или выше
<1%
36°C 32%
35°C 29%
34°C или ниже 13%
37°C 11%
34°C или ниже
13%
35°C
29%
36°C
32%
37°C
11%
38°C
4%
39°C
3%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C или выше
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble weather models from the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and global forecasts like GFS and ECMWF project Lucknow's highest temperature on March 29 clustering tightly around 35-36°C, fueling the close market-implied odds with 36°C leading at 31.5% and 35°C at 28.5%. Recent heatwave persistence across Uttar Pradesh, with March 27 recording 37.2°C amid low humidity and clear skies, supports elevated readings above the late-March climatological average of 34°C, but minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development or southerly winds could cap or boost the peak by 1°C. Trader sentiment reflects this razor-thin model spread, with new IMD updates expected by evening potentially sharpening resolution before observations finalize the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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