Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日安卡拉的最高溫度？
7月10日安卡拉的最高溫度？
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$33,955 交易量
$33,955 交易量
2026-07-10
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
Yes
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
29°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$33,955 交易量
$33,955 交易量
2026-07-10
25°C or below
$416 交易量
No
26°C
$1,878 交易量
No
27°C
$2,090 交易量
No
28°C
$5,204 交易量
No
29°C
$9,072 交易量
Yes
30°C
$5,569 交易量
No
31°C
$4,726 交易量
No
32°C
$1,504 交易量
No
33°C
$700 交易量
No
34°C
$1,530 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$1,265 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
交易量
$33,955結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$33,955結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models, including consensus from major global systems, indicate Ankara’s July 10 maximum will likely settle near 29 °C under persistent high pressure over the Anatolian plateau. This ridge suppresses cloud cover and supports clear, dry conditions typical of mid-summer continental climate, aligning with historical July averages of 29–30 °C for daily highs. Current short-range guidance clusters tightly around 28–30 °C, which explains the market’s concentration of probability on those three outcomes (43.5 % at 29 °C, 20.5 % at 28 °C, 19.5 % at 30 °C). Minor model spread and potential afternoon wind or slight moisture shifts keep 28 °C and 30 °C viable, while lower or higher extremes remain improbable given the stable synoptic pattern and short forecast horizon. Updated runs from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will provide the next key data points for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions