National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 30?
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,437 交易量
$43,437 交易量
73°F or below
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
73°F or below 100.0%
74-75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$43,437 交易量
$43,437 交易量
73°F or below
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 28, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
National Weather Service observations at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport (KAUS)—the market's official resolution source—confirm a daily high temperature of 72°F on April 30, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 73°F or below. Persistent overcast skies, mist, scattered thunderstorms, and northerly winds from a passing upper-level trough suppressed daytime heating, keeping peaks in the low 70s despite typical late-April highs near 80°F. Real-time ASOS data showed no readings above 72°F, with cloud cover exceeding 80% most of the day. Scenarios challenging this include a rare post hoc data revision from sensor issues or overlooked late-afternoon peak, though final CLI reports expected today reinforce the outcome amid negligible liquidity on higher bins.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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