Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月13日巴黎最高溫度？
6月13日巴黎最高溫度？
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$90,074 交易量
$90,074 交易量
2026-06-13
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或以上
否
27°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$90,074 交易量
$90,074 交易量
2026-06-13
22°C或以下
$2,751 交易量
否
23°C
$5,476 交易量
否
24°C
$8,277 交易量
否
25°C
$9,441 交易量
否
26°C
$10,628 交易量
否
27°C
$15,940 交易量
是
28°C
$15,648 交易量
否
29°C
$13,891 交易量
否
30°C
$5,449 交易量
否
31°C
$1,676 交易量
否
32°C或以上
$895 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$90,074結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$90,074結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Model consensus from Météo-France and European ensembles positions the June 13 Paris maximum near 26–27 °C under building high pressure, mostly clear skies, and light winds that favor daytime heating without strong advection. This setup, following a period of variable early June conditions, has produced the current near-certain market-implied odds for 27 °C as the official high at the primary observing station. Real-time trader consensus reflects confidence in the forecast guidance and limited uncertainty in the final hours. A modest shift in observed peak could still occur if localized cloud cover develops or if the official reading at Paris-Montsouris deviates slightly from model output due to urban heat island effects or measurement timing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions