Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月2日青島氣溫最高？
7月2日青島氣溫最高？
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,034 交易量
$55,034 交易量
2026-07-02
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
31°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$55,034 交易量
$55,034 交易量
2026-07-02
24°C或以下
$2,403 交易量
否
25°C
$2,826 交易量
否
26°C
$4,326 交易量
否
27°C
$4,818 交易量
否
28°C
$6,157 交易量
否
29°C
$6,622 交易量
否
30°C
$3,668 交易量
否
31°C
$8,501 交易量
是
32°C
$4,963 交易量
否
33°C
$2,432 交易量
否
34°C或更高
$8,318 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$55,034結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,034結束日期
2026-07-02市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Qingdao’s July 2 maximum reflects the inherent spread in short-range ensemble forecasts for this coastal Yellow Sea location. Primary drivers include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which controls southerly flow and daytime heating, alongside local sea-breeze moderation that can cap peaks near 30°C under stronger onshore winds. CMA and global models show modest disagreement on cloud cover and timing of any weak frontal passage, producing the observed 25.5 % / 22.5 % split between 31 °C and both 30 °C and 32 °C. Historical early-July climatology (mean daily maximum near 29–30 °C) anchors the distribution, while rapid 48-hour forecast updates from official agencies remain the key near-term catalyst.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions