Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 31.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid post-cold frontal cooling from an upper trough over the Pacific Northwest. A recent front ushered cooler marine air, dropping highs into the 50s after early April warmth exceeding 70°F, with persistent onshore flow and low stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread—GFS trending toward mid-50s persistence, ECMWF hinting at partial afternoon clearing—yielding uncertainty in peak temperatures against April's climatological average of 58°F. Watch 12z updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 17?
56-57°F 42%
58-59°F 27%
54-55°F 21%
52-53°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
51°F或以下
2%
52-53°F
7%
54-55°F
21%
56-57°F
42%
58-59°F
27%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
華氏70度或以上
<1%
56-57°F 42%
58-59°F 27%
54-55°F 21%
52-53°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
51°F或以下
$1,419 交易量
2%
52-53°F
$702 交易量
7%
54-55°F
$671 交易量
21%
56-57°F
$580 交易量
42%
58-59°F
$698 交易量
27%
60-61°F
$1,197 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$675 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$595 交易量
1%
66-67°F
$828 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$694 交易量
<1%
華氏70度或以上
$886 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 31.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid post-cold frontal cooling from an upper trough over the Pacific Northwest. A recent front ushered cooler marine air, dropping highs into the 50s after early April warmth exceeding 70°F, with persistent onshore flow and low stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread—GFS trending toward mid-50s persistence, ECMWF hinting at partial afternoon clearing—yielding uncertainty in peak temperatures against April's climatological average of 58°F. Watch 12z updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
交易量
$8,944結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 31.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid post-cold frontal cooling from an upper trough over the Pacific Northwest. A recent front ushered cooler marine air, dropping highs into the 50s after early April warmth exceeding 70°F, with persistent onshore flow and low stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread—GFS trending toward mid-50s persistence, ECMWF hinting at partial afternoon clearing—yielding uncertainty in peak temperatures against April's climatological average of 58°F. Watch 12z updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,944結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high of 56-57°F at 40.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 58-59°F at 31.5%, reflecting National Weather Service guidance amid post-cold frontal cooling from an upper trough over the Pacific Northwest. A recent front ushered cooler marine air, dropping highs into the 50s after early April warmth exceeding 70°F, with persistent onshore flow and low stratus clouds capping daytime heating. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show minor spread—GFS trending toward mid-50s persistence, ECMWF hinting at partial afternoon clearing—yielding uncertainty in peak temperatures against April's climatological average of 58°F. Watch 12z updates Thursday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions