Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 46-47°F (38%) and 48-49°F (38%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 49°F under overcast skies, steady rain, and gusty south winds of 15-20 mph. Persistent low-level moisture from Puget Sound and an advancing frontal system limit diurnal heating, with marine stratus enhancing cloud cover to suppress peaks above 50°F. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks versus heavier precipitation timing—full overcast favors the lower bin, while brief thinning could push toward 49°F. Hourly observations and model updates through midday will clarify, amid climatological April averages near 57°F but today's cooler regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月15日西雅圖的最高溫度?
4月15日西雅圖的最高溫度?
48-49°F 36%
46-47°F 35%
44-45°F 8.8%
50-51°F 7%
$28,771 交易量
$28,771 交易量
43°F或以下
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
35%
48-49°F
36%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F或更高
<1%
48-49°F 36%
46-47°F 35%
44-45°F 8.8%
50-51°F 7%
$28,771 交易量
$28,771 交易量
43°F或以下
1%
44-45°F
9%
46-47°F
35%
48-49°F
36%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 46-47°F (38%) and 48-49°F (38%) for Seattle's highest temperature at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA) on April 15, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 49°F under overcast skies, steady rain, and gusty south winds of 15-20 mph. Persistent low-level moisture from Puget Sound and an advancing frontal system limit diurnal heating, with marine stratus enhancing cloud cover to suppress peaks above 50°F. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud breaks versus heavier precipitation timing—full overcast favors the lower bin, while brief thinning could push toward 49°F. Hourly observations and model updates through midday will clarify, amid climatological April averages near 57°F but today's cooler regime.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions