Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high temperature in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on August 27, driven by morning cloud cover giving way to mostly sunny skies, moderate southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and no strong warming advection or clear-sky heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 75°F while reflecting a modest cooling signal relative to August 26. The market's heavy weighting toward 72-73°F (42%) followed by 70-71°F (22.5%) and 74-75°F (19.5%) reflects trader incorporation of these consensus runs and the low probability of significant model shifts before the daily maximum is observed. Higher bins remain thinly priced due to limited upside potential under current steering patterns and marine influence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日西雅圖的最高溫度?
72-73°F 47%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 7%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 47%
70-71°F 23%
74-75°F 19%
76-77°F 7%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
4%
70-71°F
23%
72-73°F
47%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
2%
84°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources converge on a high temperature in the low to mid-70s for Seattle on August 27, driven by morning cloud cover giving way to mostly sunny skies, moderate southerly winds of 10-15 mph, and no strong warming advection or clear-sky heating. This aligns with climatological norms near 75°F while reflecting a modest cooling signal relative to August 26. The market's heavy weighting toward 72-73°F (42%) followed by 70-71°F (22.5%) and 74-75°F (19.5%) reflects trader incorporation of these consensus runs and the low probability of significant model shifts before the daily maximum is observed. Higher bins remain thinly priced due to limited upside potential under current steering patterns and marine influence.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions