Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Thursday night low in Seattle in the mid- to upper 50s°F under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, favoring radiative cooling without strong marine-layer suppression. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins, as surface observations overnight and any final model adjustments could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Clearer conditions than typical August marine influence, combined with dew points near 55°F, support the current market-implied odds while leaving room for modest variance from local urban heat or wind shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月27日西雅圖的最低溫度?
58-59°F 42%
60-61°F 37%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 22%
華氏51度或以下
3%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
42%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
7%
華氏70度或以上
2%
58-59°F 42%
60-61°F 37%
56-57°F 27%
62-63°F 22%
華氏51度或以下
3%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
10%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
42%
60-61°F
37%
62-63°F
22%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
7%
華氏70度或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and NOAA model consensus points to a Thursday night low in Seattle in the mid- to upper 50s°F under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, favoring radiative cooling without strong marine-layer suppression. This aligns with trader emphasis on the 58–59°F and 60–61°F bins, as surface observations overnight and any final model adjustments could shift the minimum by a degree or two. Clearer conditions than typical August marine influence, combined with dew points near 55°F, support the current market-implied odds while leaving room for modest variance from local urban heat or wind shifts before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions