Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 27 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by clearing skies after Wednesday's showers, light northeast winds of 5–10 mph, and radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions. Lake Michigan's moderating influence and dew points near 60°F limit further drops, while historical averages near 65°F provide context. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 62–67°F bins reflects model consensus on these factors, with minor variations in exact minimums hinging on precise cloud timing, wind shifts, and urban heat island effects that could differentiate outcomes by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於芝加哥8月27日的最低溫度?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 33%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 24%
55°F or below
5%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
7%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 33%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 24%
55°F or below
5%
56-57°F
4%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
24%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
33%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 25, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models indicate Chicago's overnight low on August 27 will likely fall in the mid-to-upper 60s°F, driven by clearing skies after Wednesday's showers, light northeast winds of 5–10 mph, and radiative cooling under mostly clear conditions. Lake Michigan's moderating influence and dew points near 60°F limit further drops, while historical averages near 65°F provide context. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 62–67°F bins reflects model consensus on these factors, with minor variations in exact minimums hinging on precise cloud timing, wind shifts, and urban heat island effects that could differentiate outcomes by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions