**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日東京最低溫度？
8月6日東京最低溫度？
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 交易量
$13,693 交易量
2026-08-06
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
24°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$13,693 交易量
$13,693 交易量
2026-08-06
20°C或以下
$374 交易量
否
21°C
$688 交易量
否
22°C
$1,244 交易量
否
23°C
$1,216 交易量
否
24°C
$2,374 交易量
是
25°C
$2,305 交易量
否
26°C
$3,170 交易量
否
27°C
$959 交易量
否
28°C
$687 交易量
否
29°C
$342 交易量
否
30°C或以上
$334 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.**
Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range.
Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations.
The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$13,693結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.**
Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range.
Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations.
The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$13,693結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency project a minimum temperature of 24°C for Tokyo on August 6, 2026, aligning closely with the long-term daily normal of 23.9°C and typical early-August climatology.** Summer conditions in the region feature persistent high humidity, urban heat retention, and weak nighttime cooling, keeping overnight lows in a narrow 23–25°C band absent major synoptic shifts. Recent model consensus and observational trends show no significant deviations from this pattern, with daytime highs around 32–34°C reinforcing the expected diurnal range. Traders have converged on 24°C because this matches the authoritative forecast threshold most likely to be recorded at official stations. The primary risk of a different outcome stems from localized convective cooling during showers, a stronger-than-expected sea breeze, or minor station-to-station measurement differences, though current atmospheric stability makes these scenarios improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions