Stefany Shaheen secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District in the September 8 primary, defeating Maura Sullivan by a narrow margin in a crowded field. Anthony DiLorenzo won the Republican primary with backing from President Trump. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, sits in a district rated lean or likely Democratic by major forecasters, with a recent history of Democratic holds despite close statewide results in 2024. Shaheen’s family name recognition and establishment support have positioned her as the frontrunner, while DiLorenzo’s business background and Trump endorsement represent the main Republican path in a contest scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural lean and limited time for the Republican nominee to close the gap before the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於斯蒂芬妮·沙欣(民主黨)
89%
安東尼·迪洛倫佐(共和黨)
12%
斯蒂芬妮·沙欣(民主黨)
89%
安東尼·迪洛倫佐(共和黨)
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Stefany Shaheen secured the Democratic nomination for New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District in the September 8 primary, defeating Maura Sullivan by a narrow margin in a crowded field. Anthony DiLorenzo won the Republican primary with backing from President Trump. The open seat, vacated by Rep. Chris Pappas’s Senate bid, sits in a district rated lean or likely Democratic by major forecasters, with a recent history of Democratic holds despite close statewide results in 2024. Shaheen’s family name recognition and establishment support have positioned her as the frontrunner, while DiLorenzo’s business background and Trump endorsement represent the main Republican path in a contest scheduled for November 3. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural lean and limited time for the Republican nominee to close the gap before the general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



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