Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 43%
17°C 19%
15°C 18%
16°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
12%
15°C
18%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
43%
18°C or higher 43%
17°C 19%
15°C 18%
16°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
8°C or below
$515 交易量
1%
9°C
$521 交易量
1%
10°C
$494 交易量
1%
11°C
$360 交易量
1%
12°C
$190 交易量
1%
13°C
$514 交易量
2%
14°C
$481 交易量
12%
15°C
$112 交易量
18%
16°C
$87 交易量
18%
17°C
$164 交易量
19%
18°C or higher
$468 交易量
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$3,881结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,881结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus favors 18°C or higher at 53% implied probability for Seoul's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts projecting highs near 18–20°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and low precipitation risk. This aligns with mid-April climatology, where Seoul averages 17°C highs amid spring warming trends, though inherent model uncertainty from potential cold air intrusions from the north elevates bets on cooler bins like 10°C and 12°C (both 35.5%). Recent observations show highs of 16–17°C over the past 48 hours amid variable cloud cover, reflecting erratic April patterns. KMA updates tomorrow may refine ensemble model spreads before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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