Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, with 26°C leading at 24%, 28°C at 21%, and 27°C at 20%, reflecting ensemble forecast means from China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models near 27°C amid post-frontal clearing. Recent rainy conditions suppressed highs to 20–23°C on April 14–16, but a high-pressure ridge promises sunny skies and subsidence, boosting insolation and boundary-layer heating in the region's humid subtropical climate, where mid-April averages hover at 24°C but vary widely. Differentiation hinges on residual cloud persistence and afternoon mixing; new 00Z/12Z model runs expected April 15–16 could sharpen the outlook before resolution via Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
28°C 28%
27°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 13%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
23%
27°C
24%
28°C
28%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 28%
27°C 24%
26°C 23%
25°C 13%
23°C or below
4%
24°C
9%
25°C
13%
26°C
23%
27°C
24%
28°C
28%
29°C
10%
30°C
7%
31°C
7%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 26–28°C for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 17, with 26°C leading at 24%, 28°C at 21%, and 27°C at 20%, reflecting ensemble forecast means from China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models near 27°C amid post-frontal clearing. Recent rainy conditions suppressed highs to 20–23°C on April 14–16, but a high-pressure ridge promises sunny skies and subsidence, boosting insolation and boundary-layer heating in the region's humid subtropical climate, where mid-April averages hover at 24°C but vary widely. Differentiation hinges on residual cloud persistence and afternoon mixing; new 00Z/12Z model runs expected April 15–16 could sharpen the outlook before resolution via Wuhan Tianhe Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题