Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.1% implied probability for a high of 21°C or below at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 15, with 22°C close behind at 38.5%, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast indicating a daily maximum of 22°C amid light rain and persistent cloud cover. Recent spring frontal systems have delivered cooler-than-seasonal conditions, including showers on April 13 that capped highs and an observed 22°C peak on April 11, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 21-22°C under northerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Mid-April climatological norms hover near 23°C, but current overcast skies introduce uncertainty; real-time airport observations will resolve the market as the day unfolds, with potential for minor upward shifts if precipitation eases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月15日武汉气温最高?
4月15日武汉气温最高?
21°C或以下 52.4%
22°C 33%
23°C 9%
24°C 3.7%
$22,994 交易量
$22,994 交易量
21°C或以下
52%
22°C
33%
23°C
9%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
21°C或以下 52.4%
22°C 33%
23°C 9%
24°C 3.7%
$22,994 交易量
$22,994 交易量
21°C或以下
52%
22°C
33%
23°C
9%
24°C
4%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51.1% implied probability for a high of 21°C or below at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport on April 15, with 22°C close behind at 38.5%, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecast indicating a daily maximum of 22°C amid light rain and persistent cloud cover. Recent spring frontal systems have delivered cooler-than-seasonal conditions, including showers on April 13 that capped highs and an observed 22°C peak on April 11, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 21-22°C under northerly flow suppressing daytime heating. Mid-April climatological norms hover near 23°C, but current overcast skies introduce uncertainty; real-time airport observations will resolve the market as the day unfolds, with potential for minor upward shifts if precipitation eases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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