Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 30%
20°C 21%
17°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
4%
16°C
9%
17°C
21%
18°C
28%
19°C
30%
20°C
21%
21°C
10%
22°C or higher
7%
18°C 35%
19°C 30%
20°C 21%
17°C 21%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
$586 交易量
<1%
13°C
$10 交易量
2%
14°C
$15 交易量
5%
15°C
$18 交易量
4%
16°C
$0 交易量
9%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$9 交易量
28%
19°C
$5 交易量
30%
20°C
$0 交易量
21%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C or higher
$16 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$412结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$412结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 17, with KNMI projecting a 17°C maximum under partly sunny conditions, low 20% precipitation risk, and light westerly winds moderating warmth. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models show 3–5°C variability, favoring 18–19°C (21.5–21.0% implied odds) due to a building high-pressure ridge following the Netherlands' first 20°C day on April 8, but northerly airflow or increased cloud cover could drop readings to 12°C or below (20.0%). Outcomes at 20–22°C+ hinge on sustained clear skies and solar heating; new model runs expected April 16 will likely sharpen differentiation amid typical spring volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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