Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
19°C 42%
18°C 27%
20°C 14.5%
17°C 6%
最新
$15,183 交易量
最新
$15,183 交易量
2026-04-15
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
27%
19°C
42%
20°C
15%
21°C
4%
22°C or higher
1%
19°C 42%
18°C 27%
20°C 14.5%
17°C 6%
最新
$15,183 交易量
最新
$15,183 交易量
2026-04-15
12°C or below
$2,289 交易量
<1%
13°C
$2,032 交易量
<1%
14°C
$615 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,627 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,826 交易量
1%
17°C
$2,042 交易量
6%
18°C
$1,089 交易量
27%
19°C
$1,132 交易量
42%
20°C
$743 交易量
15%
21°C
$1,115 交易量
4%
22°C or higher
$671 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$15,183结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$15,183结束日期
2026-04-15市场开放时间
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 19°C (43% implied probability) as Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 15, closely followed by 18°C (26.5%), reflecting the latest guidance from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) and ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models clustering around 18-19°C. This positioning stems from a strengthening high-pressure ridge over western Europe ushering mild southerly airflow and reduced cloud cover, enabling greater solar heating than the mid-April climatological average of 13°C; deterministic model runs suggest potential for 19°C if skies remain clear. Recent 12-hour updates show slight upward revisions in peak temperatures due to lighter winds and drier air mass stability. Uncertainty persists in model ensembles, with spreads of ±1-2°C tied to afternoon cloud development risks; watch KNMI's morning briefing for final refinements ahead of resolution based on official Schiphol Airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题