Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 17–19°C for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts amid transitioning weather patterns. Recent tenki.jp updates (drawing from JMA data) project a 21°C high under sunny intervals with occasional clouds and 20% precipitation chance, following showers that capped April 15–16 highs at 23–24°C despite mild averages. However, model ensembles reveal 2–3°C spreads due to potential lingering frontal clouds, northerly winds, and variable solar insolation, differentiating outcomes—clearer skies favor 19–20°C, while overcast risks pull toward 17–18°C. Updated JMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 16 morning could sharpen probabilities as the resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 24%
20°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
7%
17°C
24%
18°C
31%
19°C
31%
20°C
11%
21°C
7%
22°C or higher
4%
18°C 31%
19°C 31%
17°C 24%
20°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
$471 交易量
1%
13°C
$364 交易量
1%
14°C
$228 交易量
2%
15°C
$212 交易量
4%
16°C
$231 交易量
7%
17°C
$41 交易量
24%
18°C
$56 交易量
31%
19°C
$80 交易量
31%
20°C
$38 交易量
11%
21°C
$90 交易量
7%
22°C or higher
$385 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 17–19°C for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts amid transitioning weather patterns. Recent tenki.jp updates (drawing from JMA data) project a 21°C high under sunny intervals with occasional clouds and 20% precipitation chance, following showers that capped April 15–16 highs at 23–24°C despite mild averages. However, model ensembles reveal 2–3°C spreads due to potential lingering frontal clouds, northerly winds, and variable solar insolation, differentiating outcomes—clearer skies favor 19–20°C, while overcast risks pull toward 17–18°C. Updated JMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 16 morning could sharpen probabilities as the resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$2,193结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 17–19°C for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts amid transitioning weather patterns. Recent tenki.jp updates (drawing from JMA data) project a 21°C high under sunny intervals with occasional clouds and 20% precipitation chance, following showers that capped April 15–16 highs at 23–24°C despite mild averages. However, model ensembles reveal 2–3°C spreads due to potential lingering frontal clouds, northerly winds, and variable solar insolation, differentiating outcomes—clearer skies favor 19–20°C, while overcast risks pull toward 17–18°C. Updated JMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 16 morning could sharpen probabilities as the resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,193结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 17–19°C for Tokyo's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting genuine uncertainty in Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) short-range forecasts amid transitioning weather patterns. Recent tenki.jp updates (drawing from JMA data) project a 21°C high under sunny intervals with occasional clouds and 20% precipitation chance, following showers that capped April 15–16 highs at 23–24°C despite mild averages. However, model ensembles reveal 2–3°C spreads due to potential lingering frontal clouds, northerly winds, and variable solar insolation, differentiating outcomes—clearer skies favor 19–20°C, while overcast risks pull toward 17–18°C. Updated JMA guidance and ECMWF/GFS runs expected April 16 morning could sharpen probabilities as the resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题