MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central pegs the April 17 maximum temperature at 18°C under fine conditions turning to morning showers with strengthening northwesterlies rising to gale force in the afternoon, anchoring trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome and 30% on 19°C. Recent mild autumn weather, including today's 18°C high amid northerlies, aligns with this outlook, while historical April averages hover around 17°C amid variable southerly to northwesterly flows. Northwesterlies often boost temperatures via downslope warming, but incoming showers and wind could cap peaks below 20°C. Updated model guidance expected Thursday may refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Wellington International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 17?
18°C 41%
19°C 33%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$10,523 交易量
$10,523 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
33%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 41%
19°C 33%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
$10,523 交易量
$10,523 交易量
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
7%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
33%
20°C
9%
21°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central pegs the April 17 maximum temperature at 18°C under fine conditions turning to morning showers with strengthening northwesterlies rising to gale force in the afternoon, anchoring trader sentiment with 43% implied probability on that outcome and 30% on 19°C. Recent mild autumn weather, including today's 18°C high amid northerlies, aligns with this outlook, while historical April averages hover around 17°C amid variable southerly to northwesterly flows. Northwesterlies often boost temperatures via downslope warming, but incoming showers and wind could cap peaks below 20°C. Updated model guidance expected Thursday may refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on Wellington International Airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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