Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Wuhan on May 25, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This result stems from typical late-spring atmospheric conditions over the region, including moderate southerly flow, seasonal solar heating, and average humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near the long-term May mean of 28–30°C without triggering stronger warming from high-pressure ridges or clear skies. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showed limited variability in the 24–48 hours before the date, with no significant deviation expected. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving only remote possibilities like measurement revisions or localized microclimate effects to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 25?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,316 交易量
$49,316 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$49,316 交易量
$49,316 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 23, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations confirm a daily maximum of 30°C in Wuhan on May 25, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain outcome. This result stems from typical late-spring atmospheric conditions over the region, including moderate southerly flow, seasonal solar heating, and average humidity levels that support afternoon peaks near the long-term May mean of 28–30°C without triggering stronger warming from high-pressure ridges or clear skies. Model consensus from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showed limited variability in the 24–48 hours before the date, with no significant deviation expected. Resolution hinges on verified station data rather than forecasts, leaving only remote possibilities like measurement revisions or localized microclimate effects to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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