**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日上海最低气温？
6月18日上海最低气温？
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$35,998 交易量
$35,998 交易量
2026-06-18
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$35,998 交易量
$35,998 交易量
2026-06-18
19°C或以下
$1,643 交易量
否
20°C
$2,171 交易量
否
21°C
$1,519 交易量
否
22°C
$3,568 交易量
否
23°C
$14,005 交易量
否
24°C
$8,590 交易量
是
25°C
$2,271 交易量
否
26°C
$1,065 交易量
否
27°C
$398 交易量
否
28°C
$403 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$363 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$35,998结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.**
Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined.
With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$35,998结束日期
2026-06-18市场开放时间
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**Trader sentiment strongly favors a 24°C low in Shanghai on June 18, 2026, reflecting consistent forecast guidance and typical mid-June climatology.** Official and model outputs from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project an overnight minimum near 24–25°C (76°F), driven by the East Asian summer monsoon’s warm, humid air mass, high dew points, and limited radiational cooling under cloudy or overcast conditions. Historical baselines for Shanghai in mid-June show average lows of 21–24°C, with recent observations (June 16–17) recording minima around 22–23°C before a slight uptick. No significant cold advection, frontal passage, or clear-sky radiative cooling event has appeared in the latest model runs, keeping probabilities for 23°C or below under 12% combined. With resolution imminent on the same calendar day, traders have converged on the 24°C outcome at 90% implied probability, consistent with the narrow uncertainty band in current guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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