Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities evenly split around 15–17°C amid a recent cooling trend noted in ARPA Lombardia's April 10 bulletin, which highlighted dropping temperatures and lowering snow levels due to a northerly airflow. Latest guidance from Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS shows max temperatures clustering near 16–19°C, differentiated by cloud cover variability—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 16°C via reduced solar insolation, while clearer intervals favor 17°C or higher—light winds (5–10 km/h from north) mixing cooler boundary layer air, and low precipitation risk (20–35%). Resolution hinges on observations from Milano Linate station; expect refinement from overnight model updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
17°C or higher 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
14°C 20%
$11,530 Vol.
$11,530 Vol.
13 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
20%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
29%
17°C or higher 29%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
14°C 20%
$11,530 Vol.
$11,530 Vol.
13 abr 2026
7°C or below
$1,075 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,054 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$903 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,495 Vol.
1%
11°C
$916 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$639 Vol.
1%
13°C
$1,471 Vol.
4%
14°C
$850 Vol.
20%
15°C
$583 Vol.
27%
16°C
$758 Vol.
27%
17°C or higher
$1,786 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities evenly split around 15–17°C amid a recent cooling trend noted in ARPA Lombardia's April 10 bulletin, which highlighted dropping temperatures and lowering snow levels due to a northerly airflow. Latest guidance from Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS shows max temperatures clustering near 16–19°C, differentiated by cloud cover variability—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 16°C via reduced solar insolation, while clearer intervals favor 17°C or higher—light winds (5–10 km/h from north) mixing cooler boundary layer air, and low precipitation risk (20–35%). Resolution hinges on observations from Milano Linate station; expect refinement from overnight model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$11,530Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities evenly split around 15–17°C amid a recent cooling trend noted in ARPA Lombardia's April 10 bulletin, which highlighted dropping temperatures and lowering snow levels due to a northerly airflow. Latest guidance from Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS shows max temperatures clustering near 16–19°C, differentiated by cloud cover variability—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 16°C via reduced solar insolation, while clearer intervals favor 17°C or higher—light winds (5–10 km/h from north) mixing cooler boundary layer air, and low precipitation risk (20–35%). Resolution hinges on observations from Milano Linate station; expect refinement from overnight model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$11,530Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, with implied probabilities evenly split around 15–17°C amid a recent cooling trend noted in ARPA Lombardia's April 10 bulletin, which highlighted dropping temperatures and lowering snow levels due to a northerly airflow. Latest guidance from Aeronautica Militare and ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS shows max temperatures clustering near 16–19°C, differentiated by cloud cover variability—partly cloudy skies could cap peaks at 16°C via reduced solar insolation, while clearer intervals favor 17°C or higher—light winds (5–10 km/h from north) mixing cooler boundary layer air, and low precipitation risk (20–35%). Resolution hinges on observations from Milano Linate station; expect refinement from overnight model updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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