Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance issued April 16, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds around 12-20 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward 15°C as the leading outcome. This consensus reflects yesterday's mild high near 14°C and mid-April climatological norms of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, the official resolution station, amid steady spring warming patterns. Model agreement is tight with minimal spread, though slight cloud variations could adjust peaks by 1°C; hourly observations and final IMGW briefings today may refine probabilities further as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 39%
16°C 24%
14°C 15%
17°C or higher 10%
NUEVO
$15,842 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,842 Vol.
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
2%
13°C
4%
14°C
15%
15°C
39%
16°C
24%
17°C or higher
10%
15°C 39%
16°C 24%
14°C 15%
17°C or higher 10%
NUEVO
$15,842 Vol.
NUEVO
$15,842 Vol.
17 abr 2026
7°C or below
$1,001 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,438 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$2,006 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$3,257 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,627 Vol.
1%
12°C
$948 Vol.
2%
13°C
$1,895 Vol.
4%
14°C
$868 Vol.
15%
15°C
$735 Vol.
39%
16°C
$966 Vol.
24%
17°C or higher
$1,167 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance issued April 16, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds around 12-20 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward 15°C as the leading outcome. This consensus reflects yesterday's mild high near 14°C and mid-April climatological norms of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, the official resolution station, amid steady spring warming patterns. Model agreement is tight with minimal spread, though slight cloud variations could adjust peaks by 1°C; hourly observations and final IMGW briefings today may refine probabilities further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$15,842Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance issued April 16, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds around 12-20 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward 15°C as the leading outcome. This consensus reflects yesterday's mild high near 14°C and mid-April climatological norms of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, the official resolution station, amid steady spring warming patterns. Model agreement is tight with minimal spread, though slight cloud variations could adjust peaks by 1°C; hourly observations and final IMGW briefings today may refine probabilities further as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,842Fecha de finalización
17 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts, aligned with Poland's Institute of Meteorology and Water Management (IMGW) guidance issued April 16, project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly winds around 12-20 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward 15°C as the leading outcome. This consensus reflects yesterday's mild high near 14°C and mid-April climatological norms of 13-15°C at Warsaw Chopin Airport, the official resolution station, amid steady spring warming patterns. Model agreement is tight with minimal spread, though slight cloud variations could adjust peaks by 1°C; hourly observations and final IMGW briefings today may refine probabilities further as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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