Official PAGASA observations confirm the highest temperature at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Manila reached 35.6°C on May 1, anchoring near-unanimous trader consensus on the 35°C outcome as solar heating peaked midday under easterlies. Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded 35.3°C around noon, aligning with partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that capped intensification despite dry season norms averaging 33-34°C highs. Model forecasts from PAGASA anticipated 32-35°C, matching this outcome amid moderate humidity and light winds. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—only an upward data revision or overlooked late-afternoon spike from clearing could alter it, though historical diurnal patterns make this unlikely; final daily report expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Manila on May 1?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 1?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,825 Vol.
$35,825 Vol.
May 1, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$35,825 Vol.
$35,825 Vol.
May 1, 2026
29°C or below
$351 Vol.
No
30°C
$631 Vol.
No
31°C
$512 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,760 Vol.
No
33°C
$4,155 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,220 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,054 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$3,982 Vol.
No
37°C
$4,616 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,319 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$2,227 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official PAGASA observations confirm the highest temperature at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Manila reached 35.6°C on May 1, anchoring near-unanimous trader consensus on the 35°C outcome as solar heating peaked midday under easterlies. Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded 35.3°C around noon, aligning with partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that capped intensification despite dry season norms averaging 33-34°C highs. Model forecasts from PAGASA anticipated 32-35°C, matching this outcome amid moderate humidity and light winds. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—only an upward data revision or overlooked late-afternoon spike from clearing could alter it, though historical diurnal patterns make this unlikely; final daily report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volume
$35,825End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official PAGASA observations confirm the highest temperature at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Manila reached 35.6°C on May 1, anchoring near-unanimous trader consensus on the 35°C outcome as solar heating peaked midday under easterlies. Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded 35.3°C around noon, aligning with partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that capped intensification despite dry season norms averaging 33-34°C highs. Model forecasts from PAGASA anticipated 32-35°C, matching this outcome amid moderate humidity and light winds. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—only an upward data revision or overlooked late-afternoon spike from clearing could alter it, though historical diurnal patterns make this unlikely; final daily report expected soon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$35,825End Date
May 1, 2026Market Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 12:10 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official PAGASA observations confirm the highest temperature at Ninoy Aquino International Airport in Manila reached 35.6°C on May 1, anchoring near-unanimous trader consensus on the 35°C outcome as solar heating peaked midday under easterlies. Science Garden station in Quezon City recorded 35.3°C around noon, aligning with partly cloudy skies and isolated thunderstorms that capped intensification despite dry season norms averaging 33-34°C highs. Model forecasts from PAGASA anticipated 32-35°C, matching this outcome amid moderate humidity and light winds. With evening cooling underway, realistic challenges are slim—only an upward data revision or overlooked late-afternoon spike from clearing could alter it, though historical diurnal patterns make this unlikely; final daily report expected soon.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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