Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that tempers partly cloudy to cloudy conditions. Recent SAWS updates indicate warm starts transitioning to cooler afternoons with increased cloud cover and southerly winds, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks; implied odds favor 17°C (27.5%) ahead of 16°C (23.5%) and 18°C (21.0%) due to model consensus around mid-teens Celsius amid wind chill advisories for nearby areas. Autumnal frontal patterns add variability, with historical April maxima averaging 22°C but current guidance showing divergence on front timing—watch SAWS evening bulletins for refined outlooks before resolution via official measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
17°C 30%
16°C 24%
18°C 22%
15°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
14°C or below
10%
15°C
13%
16°C
24%
17°C
30%
18°C
22%
19°C
8%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 30%
16°C 24%
18°C 22%
15°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
17 avr. 2026
14°C or below
$481 Vol.
10%
15°C
$23 Vol.
13%
16°C
$116 Vol.
24%
17°C
$47 Vol.
30%
18°C
$35 Vol.
22%
19°C
$650 Vol.
8%
20°C
$515 Vol.
4%
21°C
$790 Vol.
2%
22°C
$768 Vol.
1%
23°C
$985 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$1,141 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that tempers partly cloudy to cloudy conditions. Recent SAWS updates indicate warm starts transitioning to cooler afternoons with increased cloud cover and southerly winds, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks; implied odds favor 17°C (27.5%) ahead of 16°C (23.5%) and 18°C (21.0%) due to model consensus around mid-teens Celsius amid wind chill advisories for nearby areas. Autumnal frontal patterns add variability, with historical April maxima averaging 22°C but current guidance showing divergence on front timing—watch SAWS evening bulletins for refined outlooks before resolution via official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$5,466Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that tempers partly cloudy to cloudy conditions. Recent SAWS updates indicate warm starts transitioning to cooler afternoons with increased cloud cover and southerly winds, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks; implied odds favor 17°C (27.5%) ahead of 16°C (23.5%) and 18°C (21.0%) due to model consensus around mid-teens Celsius amid wind chill advisories for nearby areas. Autumnal frontal patterns add variability, with historical April maxima averaging 22°C but current guidance showing divergence on front timing—watch SAWS evening bulletins for refined outlooks before resolution via official measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$5,466Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in South African Weather Service (SAWS) forecasts for Cape Town's highest temperature on April 17, driven by an approaching cold front from the west that tempers partly cloudy to cloudy conditions. Recent SAWS updates indicate warm starts transitioning to cooler afternoons with increased cloud cover and southerly winds, limiting solar insolation and capping peaks; implied odds favor 17°C (27.5%) ahead of 16°C (23.5%) and 18°C (21.0%) due to model consensus around mid-teens Celsius amid wind chill advisories for nearby areas. Autumnal frontal patterns add variability, with historical April maxima averaging 22°C but current guidance showing divergence on front timing—watch SAWS evening bulletins for refined outlooks before resolution via official measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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