Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 30°C and 31°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by divergent latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 30-32°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Morning observations show temperatures around 26°C with high humidity near 80% and 20-25% shower risk, limiting solar insolation and boundary layer heating during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m. local). Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud buildup suppressing the max to 30°C versus sustained clear intervals pushing to 31°C; historical April anomalies (+3°C above normal) add warmth but underscore model spread. Watch hourly Wunderground data for Baiyun station resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 16?
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
29°C or below 18%
32°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
29°C or below
18%
30°C
36%
31°C
37%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
3%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
30°C 30%
31°C 28%
29°C or below 18%
32°C 13%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 avr. 2026
29°C or below
$368 Vol.
18%
30°C
$255 Vol.
36%
31°C
$390 Vol.
37%
32°C
$335 Vol.
13%
33°C
$306 Vol.
5%
34°C
$420 Vol.
3%
35°C
$1,151 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$1,373 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$342 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$456 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$800 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 30°C and 31°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by divergent latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 30-32°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Morning observations show temperatures around 26°C with high humidity near 80% and 20-25% shower risk, limiting solar insolation and boundary layer heating during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m. local). Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud buildup suppressing the max to 30°C versus sustained clear intervals pushing to 31°C; historical April anomalies (+3°C above normal) add warmth but underscore model spread. Watch hourly Wunderground data for Baiyun station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$6,197Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 30°C and 31°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by divergent latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 30-32°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Morning observations show temperatures around 26°C with high humidity near 80% and 20-25% shower risk, limiting solar insolation and boundary layer heating during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m. local). Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud buildup suppressing the max to 30°C versus sustained clear intervals pushing to 31°C; historical April anomalies (+3°C above normal) add warmth but underscore model spread. Watch hourly Wunderground data for Baiyun station resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$6,197Date de fin
16 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between 30°C and 31°C for Guangzhou's highest temperature at Baiyun International Airport on April 16, driven by divergent latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, GFS, and ECMWF models projecting peaks of 30-32°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate southerly winds. Morning observations show temperatures around 26°C with high humidity near 80% and 20-25% shower risk, limiting solar insolation and boundary layer heating during peak afternoon hours (2-4 p.m. local). Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud buildup suppressing the max to 30°C versus sustained clear intervals pushing to 31°C; historical April anomalies (+3°C above normal) add warmth but underscore model spread. Watch hourly Wunderground data for Baiyun station resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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