Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM on April 16, projects a high of 21°C for Tokyo on April 17 amid sunny skies with clouds clearing, following partly cloudy conditions and above-normal temperatures on April 16. However, trader consensus clusters around 18°C (37% implied probability) and 19°C (23%), reflecting caution at Haneda Airport station—the market's official measurement site—where coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects often yield 1-2°C cooler readings than city-center models. April 2026 has averaged 1.5°C warmer than the 19°C historical norm, but model ensembles like ECMWF show spread, with afternoon cloudiness potentially capping peaks. Hourly JMA updates this evening could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 17 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Tokyo le 17 avril ?
18°C 38%
19°C 24%
17°C 18%
20°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$15,740 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,740 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
12°C ou moins
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
4%
17°C
18%
18°C
38%
19°C
24%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C ou plus
2%
18°C 38%
19°C 24%
17°C 18%
20°C 9%
NOUVEAU
$15,740 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$15,740 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
12°C ou moins
$1,951 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,974 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,814 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,879 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,314 Vol.
4%
17°C
$602 Vol.
18%
18°C
$872 Vol.
38%
19°C
$711 Vol.
24%
20°C
$1,569 Vol.
9%
21°C
$1,652 Vol.
3%
22°C ou plus
$2,073 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM on April 16, projects a high of 21°C for Tokyo on April 17 amid sunny skies with clouds clearing, following partly cloudy conditions and above-normal temperatures on April 16. However, trader consensus clusters around 18°C (37% implied probability) and 19°C (23%), reflecting caution at Haneda Airport station—the market's official measurement site—where coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects often yield 1-2°C cooler readings than city-center models. April 2026 has averaged 1.5°C warmer than the 19°C historical norm, but model ensembles like ECMWF show spread, with afternoon cloudiness potentially capping peaks. Hourly JMA updates this evening could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$15,740Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM on April 16, projects a high of 21°C for Tokyo on April 17 amid sunny skies with clouds clearing, following partly cloudy conditions and above-normal temperatures on April 16. However, trader consensus clusters around 18°C (37% implied probability) and 19°C (23%), reflecting caution at Haneda Airport station—the market's official measurement site—where coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects often yield 1-2°C cooler readings than city-center models. April 2026 has averaged 1.5°C warmer than the 19°C historical norm, but model ensembles like ECMWF show spread, with afternoon cloudiness potentially capping peaks. Hourly JMA updates this evening could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$15,740Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, issued at 11:00 AM on April 16, projects a high of 21°C for Tokyo on April 17 amid sunny skies with clouds clearing, following partly cloudy conditions and above-normal temperatures on April 16. However, trader consensus clusters around 18°C (37% implied probability) and 19°C (23%), reflecting caution at Haneda Airport station—the market's official measurement site—where coastal sea breezes and urban heat island effects often yield 1-2°C cooler readings than city-center models. April 2026 has averaged 1.5°C warmer than the 19°C historical norm, but model ensembles like ECMWF show spread, with afternoon cloudiness potentially capping peaks. Hourly JMA updates this evening could refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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