Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a subdued high of 26°C in Guangzhou on April 17 amid moderate rain, high cloud cover (around 89%), and a wind shift to westerly at 13 km/h, fostering trader consensus reflected in the near-tie between 29°C (31%) and 26°C or below (30%) implied probabilities. Persistent southerly moisture ahead of the front has elevated humidity to 80%, capping daytime heating despite recent highs near 30°C, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show some divergence on precipitation timing and intensity—key variables that could push outcomes toward 27–28°C if showers ease midday. Uncertainty stems from short-range model sensitivities to convective activity; monitor CMA updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on April 17?
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
26°C or below
30%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
28%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
26°C or below 30%
29°C 20%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
26°C or below
30%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
28%
30°C
9%
31°C
11%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts project a subdued high of 26°C in Guangzhou on April 17 amid moderate rain, high cloud cover (around 89%), and a wind shift to westerly at 13 km/h, fostering trader consensus reflected in the near-tie between 29°C (31%) and 26°C or below (30%) implied probabilities. Persistent southerly moisture ahead of the front has elevated humidity to 80%, capping daytime heating despite recent highs near 30°C, while ECMWF and GFS ensembles show some divergence on precipitation timing and intensity—key variables that could push outcomes toward 27–28°C if showers ease midday. Uncertainty stems from short-range model sensitivities to convective activity; monitor CMA updates overnight for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official observations.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti